Why? Simply because it deserves it more than any other movie this year. ‘Avatar’ was a tremendous achievement. It may revolutionize cinema for its technical achievements. However, the “Best Picture” belongs to the best film of the year. ‘The Hurt Locker’ was exactly that.
Threats: Most people think ‘Avatar’ is the only threat, yet ‘Inglorious Basterds’ may pull a ‘Shakespeare in Love’ win with ‘The Hurt Locker’ may end up as this year’s ‘Saving Private Ryan’. For one thing it has Harvey Weinstein backing it up. It also has the SAG award and actors make up the largest chunk of voters in the Academy. The recent DVD release will also help boost the vote since Tarantino only gets better with repeated viewings. The race is not between ‘The Hurt Locker’ and ‘Avatar’. It’s between ‘The Hurt Locker’, ‘Avatar’, and ‘Inglorious Basterds’.
Why? She put her heart and soul into every single shot in this movie. Bigelow will make history being the first female Best Director winner.
Threats: None. There’s no stopping her.
Predicted Winner: Jeff Bridges in ‘Crazy Heart’
Why? He’s long overdue, this may be the Academy’s only chance to redeem previous snubs. The Dude delivers one of his best performances here. A peak in a great career.
Threats: More like a minor threat but still a threat nonetheless, Colin Firth in ‘A Single Man’ . His performance was great but he will most likely end up empty handed. The nomination was his reward. A welcome to the club gesture.
Why? Why not? It’s a big year for her with two box office hits and a good performance in a weak year of female performances.
Threats: Meryl Streep in ‘Julia & Julia’. It’s Streep’s 16th Oscar nomination but it has been decades since her last win. Meryl Streep nominations is becoming more of a tradition for The Academy but a 3rd win is unlikely..at least not for this performance.
Predicted Winner: Christoph Waltz in ‘Inglorious Basterds’
Why? Over the past 3 years, the Best Supporting Actor award went to the best villain of the year. With Javier winning for ‘No Country for Old Men’ and Heath Ledger winning for ‘The Dark Knight’. How do you measure up with the past two great villains? Waltz managed to pull it off with a chilling performance.
Threats: None. He’s a lock.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Predicted Winner: Mo’NiqueWhy? She gave a splendid performance and has a very powerful “Oscar” scene.
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Predicted Winner: Quentin Tarantino ‘Inglorious Basterds’
Why? Tarantino’s screenplay is a work of art. This will be his second win.
Threats: Mark Boal ‘The Hurt Locker’
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Predicted Winner: Jason Reitman ‘Up in the Air’
Why? Simple. It was the best screenplay of the year, original or adpated. A perfect screenplay with great one liners and philosophies of life.
Threats: None. They may as well mail it to him now.
BEST FILM EDITING
BEST FOREIGN MOVIE
Predicted Winner: ‘The White Ribbon’
Why? The best foreign movie of the year and one of the best of 2009 regardless of any labels. This should win.
Threats: ‘A Prophet’ is the only threat here.
Predicted Winner: Christian Berger ‘The White Ribbon’
Why? The toughest category to predict. Any of the nominated could end up winning. Foreign movies rarely get a nomination here but this beautiful looking movie managed to get in. I’m still confused about ‘Avatar’ being eligible with all the CGI and ‘Inglorious Basterds’ was great but not groundbreaking. You could freeze any frame of ‘The White Ribbon’ and it’ll be as beautiful as a great painting.
Threats: ‘Avatar’ obviously and ‘Inglorious Basterds’.
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Predicted Winner: ‘The Young Victoria’
Why? No idea. This is a wild guess but since it got more nominations the others competing in the category, why not?
Why? See picture above.
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
BEST SOUND MIXING
BEST SOUND EDITING
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
BEST ART DIRECTION
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT
Predicted Winner: China’s Unnatural Disaster
BEST ANIMATED SHORT
Predicted Winner: A Matter of Loaf and Death (Wallace & Gromit)
BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT
Predicted Winner: KAVI